Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.000192 0.000215 0.000239 0.000267 0.000299 0.000333 0.000372
2024-12-29 0.000158 0.000189 0.000223 0.000266 0.000317 0.000375 0.000448
2025-01-05 0.000132 0.000166 0.000208 0.000261 0.000329 0.000411 0.000519
2025-01-12 0.000114 0.000151 0.000197 0.000261 0.000344 0.000452 0.000600
2025-01-19 0.000100 0.000139 0.000190 0.000262 0.000362 0.000495 0.000688
2025-01-26 0.000088 0.000127 0.000180 0.000258 0.000371 0.000529 0.000765
2025-02-02 0.000082 0.000123 0.000181 0.000270 0.000402 0.000594 0.000893
2025-02-09 0.000075 0.000117 0.000177 0.000273 0.000422 0.000645 0.001004
2025-02-16 0.000069 0.000111 0.000174 0.000276 0.000441 0.000694 0.001117
2025-02-23 0.000063 0.000104 0.000168 0.000276 0.000453 0.000735 0.001221
2025-03-02 0.000057 0.000097 0.000160 0.000271 0.000458 0.000764 0.001306
2025-03-09 0.000052 0.000091 0.000155 0.000269 0.000468 0.000801 0.001408
2025-03-16 0.000048 0.000086 0.000151 0.000270 0.000482 0.000849 0.001537
2025-03-23 0.000045 0.000082 0.000147 0.000270 0.000496 0.000898 0.001673
2025-03-30 0.000041 0.000077 0.000141 0.000266 0.000503 0.000935 0.001791
2025-04-06 0.000038 0.000073 0.000138 0.000266 0.000516 0.000984 0.001936
2025-04-13 0.000035 0.000070 0.000135 0.000268 0.000533 0.001041 0.002102
2025-04-20 0.000032 0.000066 0.000130 0.000264 0.000539 0.001078 0.002232
2025-04-27 0.000032 0.000066 0.000133 0.000276 0.000576 0.001180 0.002505
2025-05-04 0.000030 0.000064 0.000132 0.000280 0.000598 0.001253 0.002723
2025-05-11 0.000028 0.000062 0.000130 0.000283 0.000618 0.001323 0.002943
2025-05-18 0.000027 0.000059 0.000127 0.000283 0.000630 0.001378 0.003135
2025-05-25 0.000024 0.000056 0.000122 0.000277 0.000632 0.001411 0.003280